Our side
MoneylineVT to win
ours 42%
Projected score
32–22
VT – CAL
2026-10-10 · kickoff TBD
California Memorial Stadium · Berkeley, CA
ACC game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
California and Virginia Tech split 2 (1–1)
· 2 meetings since 2003
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Virginia Tech Hokies
175 ranks
Virginia Tech Hokies #59 rush offense
California Golden Bears #234 run defense
Pass game
edge California Golden Bears
162 ranks
Virginia Tech Hokies #205 pass offense
California Golden Bears #43 pass defense
Run game
edge Virginia Tech Hokies
70 ranks
California Golden Bears #248 rush offense
Virginia Tech Hokies #178 run defense
Pass game
edge California Golden Bears
96 ranks
California Golden Bears #150 pass offense
Virginia Tech Hokies #246 pass defense
Virginia Tech Hokies
Run-heavy · 62% run
Ball-control
Dual-threat QB · 54 rush ypg
California Golden Bears
Balanced · 44% run
Avg pace
Philip Montgomery · 46-59 · offense-minded
Nick Rolovich · 34-34
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Virginia Tech Hokies
TE
Luke Reynolds
13 rec · 158 yds · 3 TD
#2 TE
K
John Love
4 FG · 15 XP · 27 pts
#5 K
DL
Mylachi Williams
7 tkl · 3.0 sacks · 6.0 TFL
#39 DL
DL
Cortez Harris
7 tkl · 3.0 sacks · 3.5 TFL
#71 DL
California Golden Bears
DB
Kingston Lopa
11 tkl · 4 INT
#1 DB
DB
Daniel Harris
10 tkl · 2 PD
#56 DB
RB
Adam Mohammed
194 rush yds · 1 TD · 12 rec
#28 RB
TE
Mason Mini
6 rec · 96 yds · 1 TD
#28 TE
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Virginia Tech offense vs California defense+8.3 pts
California offense vs Virginia Tech defense+3.2 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 2,273 mi
Altitude · context only502 m lower than the visitor's home elevation
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.
Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest
were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them.
Adding them again would double-count.