← Matchups

Charleston Southern

· 1-2 (0-1) · power -11.7 · #316
Our numberCLEM -36.2 no book has priced this game

Clemson

ACC · 1-1 · power +15.6 · #53
Our side
MoneylineCLEM to win ours 99%
Projected score 4–40 CHSO – CLEM
2026-10-17 · kickoff TBD Memorial Stadium (Clemson, SC) · Clemson, SC Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Clemson lead 1–0 · 1 meeting since 2023
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Clemson Tigers 143 ranks
Charleston Southern Buccaneers #210 rush offense Clemson Tigers #67 run defense
Pass game edge Clemson Tigers 73 ranks
Charleston Southern Buccaneers #157 pass offense Clemson Tigers #84 pass defense
Run game edge Charleston Southern Buccaneers 60 ranks
Clemson Tigers #131 rush offense Charleston Southern Buccaneers #71 run defense
Pass game edge Clemson Tigers 103 ranks
Clemson Tigers #101 pass offense Charleston Southern Buccaneers #204 pass defense
Charleston Southern Buccaneers Balanced · 57% run Ball-control Clemson Tigers Balanced · 45% run Avg pace
Dabo Swinney · 126-27

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Charleston Southern Buccaneers
LB Tristan Lennon 19 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.5 TFL #58 LB
LB Steve Zayachkowsky 22 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL #80 LB
DL Josiah Wyatt 17 tkl · 1.5 TFL #212 DL
DL CJ Landrum 13 tkl · 0.5 TFL #521 DL
Clemson Tigers
DL Will Heldt 7 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 4.0 TFL #42 DL
DB Elliot Washington II 10 tkl · 3 PD #153 DB
K Nolan Hauser 6 FG · 2 XP · 20 pts #23 K
DB Jerome Carter III 15 tkl · 1 PD #184 DB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Charleston Southern Buccaneers -11.7 -14.6 +3.0 #316
Clemson TigersACC +15.6 +4.8 +10.7 #53

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Charleston Southern offense vs Clemson defense-25.3 pts
Clemson offense vs Charleston Southern defense+1.9 pts
Rest · context onlyHome team on 7 more days rest

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.