← Matchups

Elon

· 2-1 (0-1) · power +0.1 · #173
Our numberSTAN -16.8 no book has priced this game

Stanford

ACC · 1-1 (0-1 ACC) · power +4.0 · #132
Our side
MoneylineSTAN to win ours 85%
Projected score 17–34 ELON – STAN
2026-10-17 · 7:30 PM Stanford Stadium · Stanford, CA Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

First recorded meeting between these programs
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Stanford Cardinal 109 ranks
Elon Phoenix #126 rush offense Stanford Cardinal #17 run defense
Pass game edge Elon Phoenix 89 ranks
Elon Phoenix #123 pass offense Stanford Cardinal #212 pass defense
Run game edge Elon Phoenix 193 ranks
Stanford Cardinal #254 rush offense Elon Phoenix #61 run defense
Pass game edge Elon Phoenix 46 ranks
Stanford Cardinal #179 pass offense Elon Phoenix #133 pass defense
Elon Phoenix Run-heavy · 60% run Ball-control Dual-threat QB · 51 rush ypg Stanford Cardinal Balanced · 53% run Ball-control
Frank Reich · 4-8

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Elon Phoenix
RB Kamerin McDowell-Moore 280 rush yds · 2 TD · 3 rec #71 RB
LB Brodie Carroll 19 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL #110 LB
DL Dillon Pardue 9 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL #257 DL
DB Remington Moss 6 tkl · 5 PD #265 DB
Stanford Cardinal
LB Matt Rose 21 tkl · 1.5 TFL #51 LB
TE Benji Blackburn 12 rec · 101 yds #27 TE
RB Micah Ford 126 rush yds · 3 TD · 2 rec #61 RB
DB Charlie Eckhardt 11 tkl · 1 INT #226 DB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Elon Phoenix +0.1 -4.9 +5.0 #173
Stanford CardinalACC +4.0 +1.4 +2.5 #132

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Elon offense vs Stanford defense-7.4 pts
Stanford offense vs Elon defense-3.6 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 2,342 mi

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.