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Georgia Tech

ACC · 0-2 · power +12.0 · #75
Our numberVT -5.2 no book has priced this game

Virginia Tech

ACC · 2-0 · power +11.6 · #77
Our side
MoneylineVT to win ours 54%
Projected score 23–28 GT – VT
2026-10-17 · kickoff TBD Lane Stadium · Blacksburg, VA ACC game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Virginia Tech lead 12–9 · 21 meetings since 1990
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 121 ranks
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets #57 rush offense Virginia Tech Hokies #178 run defense
Pass game edge Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 213 ranks
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets #33 pass offense Virginia Tech Hokies #246 pass defense
Run game edge Virginia Tech Hokies 70 ranks
Virginia Tech Hokies #59 rush offense Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets #129 run defense
Pass game edge Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 84 ranks
Virginia Tech Hokies #205 pass offense Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets #121 pass defense
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets Balanced · 56% run Avg pace Dual-threat QB · 84 rush ypg Virginia Tech Hokies Run-heavy · 62% run Ball-control Dual-threat QB · 54 rush ypg
Brent Key · 27-20 · offense-minded Philip Montgomery · 46-59 · offense-minded

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
DL Tawfiq Thomas 14 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL #13 DL
LB Kyle Efford 21 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL #24 LB
DL Taje McCoy 15 tkl · 1.0 TFL #74 DL
RB Justice Haynes 145 rush yds · 1 TD · 7 rec #46 RB
Virginia Tech Hokies
TE Luke Reynolds 13 rec · 158 yds · 3 TD #2 TE
K John Love 4 FG · 15 XP · 27 pts #5 K
DL Mylachi Williams 7 tkl · 3.0 sacks · 6.0 TFL #39 DL
DL Cortez Harris 7 tkl · 3.0 sacks · 3.5 TFL #71 DL

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Georgia Tech Yellow JacketsACC +12.0 +3.5 +8.5 #75
Virginia Tech HokiesACC +11.6 +11.4 +0.2 #77

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Georgia Tech offense vs Virginia Tech defense+3.3 pts
Virginia Tech offense vs Georgia Tech defense+2.9 pts
Altitude · context only346 m higher than the visitor's home elevation

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.