Our side
MoneylineWAKE to win
ours 31%
Projected score
33–22
WAKE – CAL
2026-10-17 · kickoff TBD
California Memorial Stadium · Berkeley, CA
ACC game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
California lead
1–0
· 1 meeting since 2024
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Wake Forest Demon Deacons
151 ranks
Wake Forest Demon Deacons #83 rush offense
California Golden Bears #234 run defense
Pass game
edge California Golden Bears
96 ranks
Wake Forest Demon Deacons #139 pass offense
California Golden Bears #43 pass defense
Run game
edge Wake Forest Demon Deacons
229 ranks
California Golden Bears #248 rush offense
Wake Forest Demon Deacons #19 run defense
Pass game
edge Wake Forest Demon Deacons
119 ranks
California Golden Bears #150 pass offense
Wake Forest Demon Deacons #31 pass defense
Wake Forest Demon Deacons
Balanced · 53% run
Ball-control
Dual-threat QB · 46 rush ypg
California Golden Bears
Balanced · 44% run
Avg pace
Jake Dickert · 32-24 · defense-minded
Nick Rolovich · 34-34
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Wake Forest Demon Deacons
QB
Gio Lopez
575 pass yds · 4 TD · 0 INT
#4 QB
K
Connor Calvert
6 FG · 6 XP · 24 pts
#10 K
WR
Carlos Hernandez
11 rec · 253 yds · 1 TD
#49 WR
LB
Vincent Firenze
20 tkl · 2.0 TFL
#49 LB
California Golden Bears
DB
Kingston Lopa
11 tkl · 4 INT
#1 DB
DB
Daniel Harris
10 tkl · 2 PD
#56 DB
RB
Adam Mohammed
194 rush yds · 1 TD · 12 rec
#28 RB
TE
Mason Mini
6 rec · 96 yds · 1 TD
#28 TE
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Wake Forest offense vs California defense+5.2 pts
California offense vs Wake Forest defense-4.6 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 2,301 mi
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.
Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest
were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them.
Adding them again would double-count.