← Matchups

Virginia Tech

ACC · 2-0 · power +11.6 · #77
Our numberVT -1.2 no book has priced this game

Clemson

ACC · 1-1 · power +15.6 · #53
Our side
MoneylineCLEM to win ours 64%
Projected score 26–25 VT – CLEM
2026-10-24 · kickoff TBD Memorial Stadium (Clemson, SC) · Clemson, SC ACC game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Clemson lead 23–11–1 · 35 meetings since 1906
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game even 8 ranks apart
Virginia Tech Hokies #59 rush offense Clemson Tigers #67 run defense
Pass game edge Clemson Tigers 121 ranks
Virginia Tech Hokies #205 pass offense Clemson Tigers #84 pass defense
Run game edge Clemson Tigers 47 ranks
Clemson Tigers #131 rush offense Virginia Tech Hokies #178 run defense
Pass game edge Clemson Tigers 145 ranks
Clemson Tigers #101 pass offense Virginia Tech Hokies #246 pass defense
Virginia Tech Hokies Run-heavy · 62% run Ball-control Dual-threat QB · 54 rush ypg Clemson Tigers Balanced · 45% run Avg pace
Philip Montgomery · 46-59 · offense-minded Dabo Swinney · 126-27

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Virginia Tech Hokies
TE Luke Reynolds 13 rec · 158 yds · 3 TD #2 TE
K John Love 4 FG · 15 XP · 27 pts #5 K
DL Mylachi Williams 7 tkl · 3.0 sacks · 6.0 TFL #39 DL
DL Cortez Harris 7 tkl · 3.0 sacks · 3.5 TFL #71 DL
Clemson Tigers
DL Will Heldt 7 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 4.0 TFL #42 DL
DB Elliot Washington II 10 tkl · 3 PD #153 DB
K Nolan Hauser 6 FG · 2 XP · 20 pts #23 K
DB Jerome Carter III 15 tkl · 1 PD #184 DB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Virginia Tech HokiesACC +11.6 +11.4 +0.2 #77
Clemson TigersACC +15.6 +4.8 +10.7 #53

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Virginia Tech offense vs Clemson defense+0.7 pts
Clemson offense vs Virginia Tech defense+4.6 pts
Altitude · context only430 m lower than the visitor's home elevation

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.