Our side
MoneylinePITT to win
ours 74%
Projected score
21–32
GT – PITT
2026-10-31 · kickoff TBD
Acrisure Stadium · Pittsburgh, PA
ACC game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Pittsburgh lead
12–6
· 18 meetings since 1918
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Pittsburgh Panthers
45 ranks
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets #57 rush offense
Pittsburgh Panthers #12 run defense
Pass game
edge Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
68 ranks
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets #33 pass offense
Pittsburgh Panthers #101 pass defense
Run game
even
19 ranks apart
Pittsburgh Panthers #148 rush offense
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets #129 run defense
Pass game
edge Pittsburgh Panthers
51 ranks
Pittsburgh Panthers #70 pass offense
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets #121 pass defense
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
Balanced · 56% run
Avg pace
Dual-threat QB · 84 rush ypg
Pittsburgh Panthers
Balanced · 47% run
Ball-control
Brent Key · 27-20 · offense-minded
Pat Narduzzi · 80-61
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
DL
Tawfiq Thomas
14 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL
#13 DL
LB
Kyle Efford
21 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL
#24 LB
DL
Taje McCoy
15 tkl · 1.0 TFL
#74 DL
RB
Justice Haynes
145 rush yds · 1 TD · 7 rec
#46 RB
Pittsburgh Panthers
QB
Mason Heintschel
665 pass yds · 7 TD · 0 INT
#23 QB
DL
Isaiah Neal
4 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#160 DL
WR
Cataurus Hicks
8 rec · 178 yds · 1 TD
#117 WR
RB
Damon Ferguson Jr.
81 rush yds · 1 TD · 6 rec
#94 RB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Georgia Tech offense vs Pittsburgh defense-6.9 pts
Pittsburgh offense vs Georgia Tech defense+1.7 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 520 mi
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.
Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest
were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them.
Adding them again would double-count.