Our side
MoneylineND to win
ours 98%
Projected score
8–44
BC – ND
2026-11-14 · 3:30 PM
Notre Dame Stadium · Notre Dame, IN
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Notre Dame lead
19–9
· 28 meetings since 1975
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Notre Dame Fighting Irish
121 ranks
Boston College Eagles #175 rush offense
Notre Dame Fighting Irish #54 run defense
Pass game
edge Notre Dame Fighting Irish
134 ranks
Boston College Eagles #140 pass offense
Notre Dame Fighting Irish #6 pass defense
Run game
edge Notre Dame Fighting Irish
155 ranks
Notre Dame Fighting Irish #1 rush offense
Boston College Eagles #156 run defense
Pass game
edge Notre Dame Fighting Irish
186 ranks
Notre Dame Fighting Irish #10 pass offense
Boston College Eagles #196 pass defense
Boston College Eagles
Balanced · 45% run
Avg pace
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Balanced · 58% run
Ball-control
Bill O'Brien · 9-16
Marcus Freeman · 43-12
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Boston College Eagles
LB
Anthony Palano
22 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL
#3 LB
DB
Marcus Upton
13 tkl · 2 PD
#134 DB
DL
E'Lla Boykin
8 tkl · 1.5 sacks · 1.5 TFL
#211 DL
RB
Evan Dickens
103 rush yds · 2 TD · 6 rec
#85 RB
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
QB
CJ Carr
492 pass yds · 6 TD · 0 INT
#6 QB
K
Spencer Porath
3 FG · 12 XP · 21 pts
#11 K
RB
Nolan James Jr.
48 rush yds · 2 TD · 5 rec
#47 RB
WR
Jordan Faison
8 rec · 135 yds · 2 TD
#79 WR
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Boston College offense vs Notre Dame defense-12.5 pts
Notre Dame offense vs Boston College defense+19.1 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 774 mi
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.
Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest
were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them.
Adding them again would double-count.