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Syracuse

ACC · 1-1 (0-1 ACC) · power +5.2 · #122
Our numberNCSU -13.4 no book has priced this game

NC State

ACC · 1-1 (0-1 ACC) · power +13.8 · #62
Our side
MoneylineNCSU to win ours 74%
Projected score 19–32 SYR – NCSU
2026-11-14 · kickoff TBD Carter-Finley Stadium · Raleigh, NC ACC game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series NC State lead 13–4 · 17 meetings since 1972
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge NC State Wolfpack 106 ranks
Syracuse Orange #232 rush offense NC State Wolfpack #126 run defense
Pass game edge NC State Wolfpack 121 ranks
Syracuse Orange #260 pass offense NC State Wolfpack #139 pass defense
Run game edge NC State Wolfpack 222 ranks
NC State Wolfpack #32 rush offense Syracuse Orange #254 run defense
Pass game edge NC State Wolfpack 196 ranks
NC State Wolfpack #56 pass offense Syracuse Orange #252 pass defense
Syracuse Orange Balanced · 51% run Ball-control NC State Wolfpack Balanced · 51% run Ball-control
Fran Brown · 13-12 Dave Doeren · 84-56 · offense-minded

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Syracuse Orange
WR Umari Hatcher 14 rec · 224 yds · 2 TD #38 WR
TE Daunte Bacheyie 6 rec · 85 yds · 2 TD #21 TE
LB Chris D'Appolonia 15 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL #111 LB
RB Shavane Anderson Jr. 120 rush yds · 3 TD #148 RB
NC State Wolfpack
LB Popo Aguirre 21 tkl #147 LB
TE Preston Douglas 5 rec · 71 yds · 1 TD #52 TE
RB Jayden Scott 148 rush yds · 2 TD #149 RB
DB Ronnie Royal III 9 tkl · 1 PD #499 DB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Syracuse OrangeACC +5.2 +1.5 +3.7 #122
NC State WolfpackACC +13.8 +9.2 +4.6 #62

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Syracuse offense vs NC State defense-3.1 pts
NC State offense vs Syracuse defense+5.5 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 518 mi

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.