← Matchups

Virginia Tech

ACC · 2-0 · power +11.6 · #77
Our numberMIA -17.9 no book has priced this game

Miami

ACC · 2-0 (1-0 ACC) · power +29.0 · #8
Our side
MoneylineMIA to win ours 88%
Projected score 16–34 VT – MIA
2026-11-21 · kickoff TBD Hard Rock Stadium · Miami Gardens, FL ACC game Early season

The books 1 account books · tap any price — the ticket builds at that book

Book VT spreadMIA spread OverUnder VT winMIA win VT TT overVT TT under MIA TT overMIA TT under
DraftKings

The gold price is the best available on that side; a gold marks the side our number implies — a read, not a pick. TT is a team total — that team’s own points, not the game’s; columns are empty where no book hangs one. Send to book opens whichever book you tapped, not the one we would have picked. Prices are the books’ own.

Series Miami lead 27–15 · 42 meetings since 1953
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game even 31 ranks apart
Virginia Tech Hokies #59 rush offense Miami Hurricanes #28 run defense
Pass game edge Miami Hurricanes 175 ranks
Virginia Tech Hokies #205 pass offense Miami Hurricanes #30 pass defense
Run game edge Miami Hurricanes 64 ranks
Miami Hurricanes #114 rush offense Virginia Tech Hokies #178 run defense
Pass game edge Miami Hurricanes 207 ranks
Miami Hurricanes #39 pass offense Virginia Tech Hokies #246 pass defense
Virginia Tech Hokies Run-heavy · 62% run Ball-control Dual-threat QB · 54 rush ypg Miami Hurricanes Balanced · 55% run Ball-control
Philip Montgomery · 46-59 · offense-minded Mario Cristobal · 70-31

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Virginia Tech Hokies
TE Luke Reynolds 13 rec · 158 yds · 3 TD #2 TE
K John Love 4 FG · 15 XP · 27 pts #5 K
DL Mylachi Williams 7 tkl · 3.0 sacks · 6.0 TFL #39 DL
DL Cortez Harris 7 tkl · 3.0 sacks · 3.5 TFL #71 DL
Miami Hurricanes
QB Darian Mensah 653 pass yds · 8 TD · 0 INT #3 QB
WR Malachi Toney 16 rec · 330 yds · 4 TD #8 WR
DL Marquise Lightfoot 11 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL #264 DL
DL Armondo Blount 6 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL #308 DL

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Virginia Tech HokiesACC +11.6 +11.4 +0.2 #77
Miami HurricanesACC +29.0 +16.2 +12.8 #8

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Virginia Tech offense vs Miami defense-1.4 pts
Miami offense vs Virginia Tech defense+16.0 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 778 mi
Altitude · context only623 m lower than the visitor's home elevation

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.