← Matchups

Clemson

ACC · 1-1 · power +15.6 · #53
Our numberDUKE -1.5 no book has priced this game

Duke

ACC · 2-0 · power +21.6 · #29
Our side
MoneylineDUKE to win ours 69%
Projected score 25–27 CLEM – DUKE
2026-11-20 · 7:30 PM Wallace Wade Stadium · Durham, NC ACC game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Clemson lead 37–18–1 · 56 meetings since 1934
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game even 24 ranks apart
Clemson Tigers #131 rush offense Duke Blue Devils #155 run defense
Pass game edge Clemson Tigers 124 ranks
Clemson Tigers #101 pass offense Duke Blue Devils #225 pass defense
Run game edge Clemson Tigers 71 ranks
Duke Blue Devils #138 rush offense Clemson Tigers #67 run defense
Pass game even 30 ranks apart
Duke Blue Devils #54 pass offense Clemson Tigers #84 pass defense
Clemson Tigers Balanced · 45% run Avg pace Duke Blue Devils Balanced · 49% run Avg pace
Dabo Swinney · 126-27 Manny Diaz · 39-24 · offense-minded

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Clemson Tigers
DL Will Heldt 7 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 4.0 TFL #42 DL
DB Elliot Washington II 10 tkl · 3 PD #153 DB
K Nolan Hauser 6 FG · 2 XP · 20 pts #23 K
DB Jerome Carter III 15 tkl · 1 PD #184 DB
Duke Blue Devils
RB Nate Sheppard 374 rush yds · 3 TD · 8 rec #1 RB
DL Bryce Davis 11 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL #57 DL
WR Jonah Burton 7 rec · 114 yds · 1 TD #190 WR
TE Jeremiah Hasley 5 rec · 89 yds #67 TE

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Clemson TigersACC +15.6 +4.8 +10.7 #53
Duke Blue DevilsACC +21.6 +11.2 +10.3 #29

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Clemson offense vs Duke defense-5.5 pts
Duke offense vs Clemson defense+0.5 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.