Our side
MoneylineCAL to win
ours 61%
Projected score
27–27
STAN – CAL
2026-11-21 · kickoff TBD
California Memorial Stadium · Berkeley, CA
ACC game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Stanford lead
54–45–6
· 105 meetings since 1918
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
even
20 ranks apart
Stanford Cardinal #254 rush offense
California Golden Bears #234 run defense
Pass game
edge California Golden Bears
136 ranks
Stanford Cardinal #179 pass offense
California Golden Bears #43 pass defense
Run game
edge Stanford Cardinal
231 ranks
California Golden Bears #248 rush offense
Stanford Cardinal #17 run defense
Pass game
edge California Golden Bears
62 ranks
California Golden Bears #150 pass offense
Stanford Cardinal #212 pass defense
Stanford Cardinal
Balanced · 53% run
Ball-control
California Golden Bears
Balanced · 44% run
Avg pace
Frank Reich · 4-8
Nick Rolovich · 34-34
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Stanford Cardinal
LB
Matt Rose
21 tkl · 1.5 TFL
#51 LB
TE
Benji Blackburn
12 rec · 101 yds
#27 TE
RB
Micah Ford
126 rush yds · 3 TD · 2 rec
#61 RB
DB
Charlie Eckhardt
11 tkl · 1 INT
#226 DB
California Golden Bears
DB
Kingston Lopa
11 tkl · 4 INT
#1 DB
DB
Daniel Harris
10 tkl · 2 PD
#56 DB
RB
Adam Mohammed
194 rush yds · 1 TD · 12 rec
#28 RB
TE
Mason Mini
6 rec · 96 yds · 1 TD
#28 TE
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Stanford offense vs California defense-1.7 pts
California offense vs Stanford defense+0.9 pts
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.