← Matchups

Boston College

ACC · 1-1 · power +4.0 · #131
Our numberMIA -32.4 no book has priced this game

Miami

ACC · 2-0 (1-0 ACC) · power +29.0 · #8
Our side
MoneylineMIA to win ours 95%
Projected score 9–41 BC – MIA
2026-11-28 · kickoff TBD Hard Rock Stadium · Miami Gardens, FL ACC game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Miami lead 25–6 · 31 meetings since 1955
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Miami Hurricanes 147 ranks
Boston College Eagles #175 rush offense Miami Hurricanes #28 run defense
Pass game edge Miami Hurricanes 110 ranks
Boston College Eagles #140 pass offense Miami Hurricanes #30 pass defense
Run game even 42 ranks apart
Miami Hurricanes #114 rush offense Boston College Eagles #156 run defense
Pass game edge Miami Hurricanes 157 ranks
Miami Hurricanes #39 pass offense Boston College Eagles #196 pass defense
Boston College Eagles Balanced · 45% run Avg pace Miami Hurricanes Balanced · 55% run Ball-control
Bill O'Brien · 9-16 Mario Cristobal · 70-31

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Boston College Eagles
LB Anthony Palano 22 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL #3 LB
DB Marcus Upton 13 tkl · 2 PD #134 DB
DL E'Lla Boykin 8 tkl · 1.5 sacks · 1.5 TFL #211 DL
RB Evan Dickens 103 rush yds · 2 TD · 6 rec #85 RB
Miami Hurricanes
QB Darian Mensah 653 pass yds · 8 TD · 0 INT #3 QB
WR Malachi Toney 16 rec · 330 yds · 4 TD #8 WR
DL Marquise Lightfoot 11 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL #264 DL
DL Armondo Blount 6 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL #308 DL

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Boston College EaglesACC +4.0 +0.7 +3.3 #131
Miami HurricanesACC +29.0 +16.2 +12.8 #8

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Boston College offense vs Miami defense-12.1 pts
Miami offense vs Boston College defense+12.9 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 1,243 mi

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.