Our side
MoneylineDUKE to win
ours 42%
Projected score
27–27
DUKE – WAKE
2026-11-28 · kickoff TBD
Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium · Winston-Salem, NC
ACC game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Duke lead
60–40–2
· 102 meetings since 1921
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Wake Forest Demon Deacons
119 ranks
Duke Blue Devils #138 rush offense
Wake Forest Demon Deacons #19 run defense
Pass game
even
23 ranks apart
Duke Blue Devils #54 pass offense
Wake Forest Demon Deacons #31 pass defense
Run game
edge Wake Forest Demon Deacons
72 ranks
Wake Forest Demon Deacons #83 rush offense
Duke Blue Devils #155 run defense
Pass game
edge Wake Forest Demon Deacons
86 ranks
Wake Forest Demon Deacons #139 pass offense
Duke Blue Devils #225 pass defense
Duke Blue Devils
Balanced · 49% run
Avg pace
Wake Forest Demon Deacons
Balanced · 53% run
Ball-control
Dual-threat QB · 46 rush ypg
Manny Diaz · 39-24 · offense-minded
Jake Dickert · 32-24 · defense-minded
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Duke Blue Devils
RB
Nate Sheppard
374 rush yds · 3 TD · 8 rec
#1 RB
DL
Bryce Davis
11 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL
#57 DL
WR
Jonah Burton
7 rec · 114 yds · 1 TD
#190 WR
TE
Jeremiah Hasley
5 rec · 89 yds
#67 TE
Wake Forest Demon Deacons
QB
Gio Lopez
575 pass yds · 4 TD · 0 INT
#4 QB
K
Connor Calvert
6 FG · 6 XP · 24 pts
#10 K
WR
Carlos Hernandez
11 rec · 253 yds · 1 TD
#49 WR
LB
Vincent Firenze
20 tkl · 2.0 TFL
#49 LB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Duke offense vs Wake Forest defense+3.2 pts
Wake Forest offense vs Duke defense-2.0 pts
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.