← Matchups

Notre Dame

IND · 2-0 · power +35.6 · #1
Our numberND -26.2 no book has priced this game

Syracuse

ACC · 1-1 (0-1 ACC) · power +5.2 · #122
Our side
MoneylineND to win ours 4%
Projected score 39–13 ND – SYR
2026-11-28 · kickoff TBD JMA Wireless Dome · Syracuse, NY Indoors Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Notre Dame lead 9–3 · 12 meetings since 1914
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Notre Dame Fighting Irish 253 ranks
Notre Dame Fighting Irish #1 rush offense Syracuse Orange #254 run defense
Pass game edge Notre Dame Fighting Irish 242 ranks
Notre Dame Fighting Irish #10 pass offense Syracuse Orange #252 pass defense
Run game edge Notre Dame Fighting Irish 178 ranks
Syracuse Orange #232 rush offense Notre Dame Fighting Irish #54 run defense
Pass game edge Notre Dame Fighting Irish 254 ranks
Syracuse Orange #260 pass offense Notre Dame Fighting Irish #6 pass defense
Notre Dame Fighting Irish Balanced · 58% run Ball-control Syracuse Orange Balanced · 51% run Ball-control
Marcus Freeman · 43-12 Fran Brown · 13-12

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
QB CJ Carr 492 pass yds · 6 TD · 0 INT #6 QB
K Spencer Porath 3 FG · 12 XP · 21 pts #11 K
RB Nolan James Jr. 48 rush yds · 2 TD · 5 rec #47 RB
WR Jordan Faison 8 rec · 135 yds · 2 TD #79 WR
Syracuse Orange
WR Umari Hatcher 14 rec · 224 yds · 2 TD #38 WR
TE Daunte Bacheyie 6 rec · 85 yds · 2 TD #21 TE
LB Chris D'Appolonia 15 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL #111 LB
RB Shavane Anderson Jr. 120 rush yds · 3 TD #148 RB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Notre Dame Fighting IrishIND +35.6 +22.4 +13.2 #1
Syracuse OrangeACC +5.2 +1.5 +3.7 #122

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Notre Dame offense vs Syracuse defense+18.7 pts
Syracuse offense vs Notre Dame defense-11.7 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 523 mi

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.