← Matchups

Virginia

ACC · 2-0 (1-0 ACC) · power +22.3 · #23
Our numberUVA -4.5 no book has priced this game

Virginia Tech

ACC · 2-0 · power +11.6 · #77
Our side
MoneylineUVA to win ours 30%
Projected score 28–23 UVA – VT
2026-11-28 · kickoff TBD Lane Stadium · Blacksburg, VA ACC game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Virginia Tech lead 62–34–5 · 101 meetings since 1902
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Virginia Cavaliers 132 ranks
Virginia Cavaliers #46 rush offense Virginia Tech Hokies #178 run defense
Pass game edge Virginia Cavaliers 118 ranks
Virginia Cavaliers #128 pass offense Virginia Tech Hokies #246 pass defense
Run game even 21 ranks apart
Virginia Tech Hokies #59 rush offense Virginia Cavaliers #38 run defense
Pass game edge Virginia Cavaliers 170 ranks
Virginia Tech Hokies #205 pass offense Virginia Cavaliers #35 pass defense
Virginia Cavaliers Balanced · 53% run Avg pace Virginia Tech Hokies Run-heavy · 62% run Ball-control Dual-threat QB · 54 rush ypg
Tony Elliott · 22-26 · defense-minded Philip Montgomery · 46-59 · offense-minded

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Virginia Cavaliers
DL Fisher Camac 6 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 0.5 TFL #140 DL
DB Jacobie Henderson 12 tkl · 3 PD #147 DB
DB Brandyn Hillman 6 tkl · 3 INT #152 DB
K Will Bettridge 3 FG · 11 XP · 20 pts #36 K
Virginia Tech Hokies
TE Luke Reynolds 13 rec · 158 yds · 3 TD #2 TE
K John Love 4 FG · 15 XP · 27 pts #5 K
DL Mylachi Williams 7 tkl · 3.0 sacks · 6.0 TFL #39 DL
DL Cortez Harris 7 tkl · 3.0 sacks · 3.5 TFL #71 DL

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Virginia CavaliersACC +22.3 +8.6 +13.7 #23
Virginia Tech HokiesACC +11.6 +11.4 +0.2 #77

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Virginia offense vs Virginia Tech defense+8.4 pts
Virginia Tech offense vs Virginia defense-2.3 pts
Altitude · context only468 m higher than the visitor's home elevation

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.