← Matchups

Hampton

· 1-2 (0-1) · power -25.5 · #389
Our numberMD -45.6 no book has priced this game

Maryland

B1G · 2-0 · power +13.1 · #64
Final HAMP 0 · MD 62 ML W Spread L our logged sides, graded on the record
Our side
MoneylineMD to win logged ours 99%

Our number: MD by 43.0 — MD to win.

Projected score 4–50 HAMP – MD
2026-09-05 · 8:00 PM SECU Stadium · College Park, MD Early season

The books 5 account books · tap any price — the ticket builds at that book

Book HAMP spreadMD spread OverUnder HAMP winMD win HAMP TT overHAMP TT under MD TT overMD TT under
DraftKings
FanDuel
BetMGM
ESPN Bet
Caesars

The gold price is the best available on that side; a gold marks the side our number implies — a read, not a pick. TT is a team total — that team’s own points, not the game’s; columns are empty where no book hangs one. Send to book opens whichever book you tapped, not the one we would have picked. Prices are the books’ own.

Public vs booksbets vs money · Action Network captured 8 days ago spread HAMP 99% bets · 93% money total Over 76% bets · 71% money
First recorded meeting between these programs
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Maryland Terrapins 98 ranks
Hampton Pirates #218 rush offense Maryland Terrapins #120 run defense
Pass game edge Maryland Terrapins 174 ranks
Hampton Pirates #231 pass offense Maryland Terrapins #57 pass defense
Run game even 14 ranks apart
Maryland Terrapins #242 rush offense Hampton Pirates #256 run defense
Pass game edge Maryland Terrapins 91 ranks
Maryland Terrapins #117 pass offense Hampton Pirates #208 pass defense
Hampton Pirates Run-heavy · 60% run Ball-control Maryland Terrapins Pass-heavy · 38% run Ball-control
Mike Locksley · 36-44 · defense-minded

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Hampton Pirates
DB Cam Sturdifen 27 tkl #143 DB
DB Caden Rice 13 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT #154 DB
DL Korede Sogbesan 8 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 3.5 TFL #333 DL
DB Qwae Willis 16 tkl · 1 PD #410 DB
Maryland Terrapins
WR Na'eem Abdul-Rahim Gladding 14 rec · 187 yds · 2 TD #57 WR
DL Sidney Stewart 6 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.5 TFL #147 DL
WR Chris Durr Jr. 16 rec · 147 yds · 1 TD #93 WR
DL Derrick LeBlanc 4 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 2.5 TFL #202 DL

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Hampton Pirates -25.5 -14.9 -10.5 #389
Maryland TerrapinsB1G +13.1 +6.7 +6.3 #64

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Hampton offense vs Maryland defense-21.3 pts
Maryland offense vs Hampton defense+17.2 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.