← Matchups

Indiana State

· 1-2 · power -9.4 · #288
Our numberPUR -29.4 no book has priced this game

Purdue

B1G · 1-1 · power +9.7 · #87
Final INST 19 · PUR 44 ML W Spread W Total L our logged sides, graded on the record
Our side
MoneylinePUR to win logged ours 95%

Our number: PUR by 18.1 — PUR to win.

Projected score 16–45 INST – PUR
2026-09-04 · 7:00 PM Ross-Ade Stadium · West Lafayette, IN Early season

The books 5 account books · tap any price — the ticket builds at that book

Book INST spreadPUR spread OverUnder INST winPUR win INST TT overINST TT under PUR TT overPUR TT under
DraftKings
FanDuel
BetMGM
ESPN Bet
Caesars

The gold price is the best available on that side; a gold marks the side our number implies — a read, not a pick. TT is a team total — that team’s own points, not the game’s; columns are empty where no book hangs one. Send to book opens whichever book you tapped, not the one we would have picked. Prices are the books’ own.

Public vs booksbets vs money · Action Network captured in-game spread INST 94% bets · 73% money total Under 80% bets · 68% money
Series Purdue lead 7–0 · 7 meetings since 1926
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game even 11 ranks apart
Indiana State Sycamores #221 rush offense Purdue Boilermakers #232 run defense
Pass game edge Indiana State Sycamores 87 ranks
Indiana State Sycamores #166 pass offense Purdue Boilermakers #253 pass defense
Run game edge Purdue Boilermakers 146 ranks
Purdue Boilermakers #112 rush offense Indiana State Sycamores #258 run defense
Pass game edge Purdue Boilermakers 49 ranks
Purdue Boilermakers #200 pass offense Indiana State Sycamores #249 pass defense
Indiana State Sycamores Balanced · 54% run Ball-control Purdue Boilermakers Balanced · 49% run Ball-control
Barry Odom · 47-43 · offense-minded

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Indiana State Sycamores
DL Kaleb Harris 12 tkl · 3.5 TFL #65 DL
DB Nic Yatsko 25 tkl · 2 PD #83 DB
WR BJ Wuest 11 rec · 226 yds · 1 TD #156 WR
WR Keshon Singleton 12 rec · 132 yds · 1 TD #167 WR
Purdue Boilermakers
RB Fame Ijeboi 201 rush yds · 4 TD · 8 rec #9 RB
DB Don Saunders 10 tkl · 1 INT #38 DB
K Jacobo Echeverria Lozano 6 FG · 8 XP · 26 pts #8 K
DL Jeremy Lewis 5 tkl · 1.5 sacks · 2.5 TFL #64 DL

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Indiana State Sycamores -9.4 -2.5 -6.9 #288
Purdue BoilermakersB1G +9.7 +7.1 +2.6 #87

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Indiana State offense vs Purdue defense-5.0 pts
Purdue offense vs Indiana State defense+14.0 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.