BallKnowMe college football, by the numbers

← Matchups

Wisconsin

B1G · 1-1 · power +12.0 · #74
Our numberND -22.8 no book has priced this game

Notre Dame

IND · 2-0 · power +35.6 · #1
Final WIS 13 · ND 41 ML W Spread W Total L our logged sides, graded on the record
Our side
MoneylineND to win logged ours 90%

Our number: ND by 21.4 — ND to win.

WIS team totalWIS under 13.5 logged ours 14.6

Our number: WIS 13.3, from our margin and total split into two scores.

no pick

No ND team-total pick: the spread and total picks put ND under 34.0, which does not decide 33.5.

Projected score 15–37 WIS – ND
2026-09-06 · 7:30 PM Lambeau Field · Green Bay, WI · neutral Early season

The books 5 account books · tap any price — the ticket builds at that book

Book WIS spreadND spread OverUnder WIS winND win WIS TT overWIS TT under ND TT overND TT under
DraftKings — — — —
FanDuel
BetMGM — — — —
ESPN Bet
Caesars

The gold price is the best available on that side; a gold ★ marks the side our number implies — a read, not a pick. TT is a team total — that team’s own points, not the game’s; columns are empty where no book hangs one. Send to book opens whichever book you tapped, not the one we would have picked. Prices are the books’ own.

Public vs booksbets vs money · Action Network captured 7 days ago spread ND 71% bets · 75% money total Over 93% bets · 86% money ML ND 95% bets · 83% money
Series Notre Dame lead 9–6–2 · 17 meetings since 1900
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Notre Dame Fighting Irish 153 ranks
Wisconsin Badgers #207 rush offense Notre Dame Fighting Irish #54 run defense
Pass game edge Notre Dame Fighting Irish 248 ranks
Wisconsin Badgers #254 pass offense Notre Dame Fighting Irish #6 pass defense
Run game edge Notre Dame Fighting Irish 82 ranks
Notre Dame Fighting Irish #1 rush offense Wisconsin Badgers #83 run defense
Pass game edge Notre Dame Fighting Irish 154 ranks
Notre Dame Fighting Irish #10 pass offense Wisconsin Badgers #164 pass defense
Wisconsin Badgers Run-heavy · 59% run Ball-control Notre Dame Fighting Irish Balanced · 58% run Ball-control
Luke Fickell · 74-39 · defense-minded Marcus Freeman · 43-12

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Wisconsin Badgers
LB Cooper Catalano 22 tkl #65 LB
DB Matthew Jung 16 tkl · 1 PD #120 DB
LB Mason Posa 16 tkl #201 LB
WR Malachi Coleman 4 rec · 76 yds · 1 TD #216 WR
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
QB CJ Carr 492 pass yds · 6 TD · 0 INT #6 QB
K Spencer Porath 3 FG · 12 XP · 21 pts #11 K
RB Nolan James Jr. 48 rush yds · 2 TD · 5 rec #47 RB
WR Jordan Faison 8 rec · 135 yds · 2 TD #79 WR

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Wisconsin BadgersB1G +12.0 -1.3 +13.3 #74
Notre Dame Fighting IrishIND +35.6 +22.4 +13.2 #1

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Wisconsin offense vs Notre Dame defense-14.5 pts
Notre Dame offense vs Wisconsin defense+9.0 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.