Our side
MoneylineNEB to win
ours 86%
Projected score
23–42
UND – NEB
2026-09-19 · 7:15 PM
Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE) · Lincoln, NE
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Nebraska lead
2–0
· 2 meetings since 1961
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge North Dakota Fighting Hawks
111 ranks
North Dakota Fighting Hawks #120 rush offense
Nebraska Cornhuskers #231 run defense
Pass game
even
13 ranks apart
North Dakota Fighting Hawks #73 pass offense
Nebraska Cornhuskers #86 pass defense
Run game
edge North Dakota Fighting Hawks
67 ranks
Nebraska Cornhuskers #93 rush offense
North Dakota Fighting Hawks #26 run defense
Pass game
edge North Dakota Fighting Hawks
94 ranks
Nebraska Cornhuskers #146 pass offense
North Dakota Fighting Hawks #52 pass defense
North Dakota Fighting Hawks
Run-heavy · 60% run
Avg pace
Dual-threat QB · 43 rush ypg
Nebraska Cornhuskers
Balanced · 52% run
Ball-control
Matt Rhule · 58-46
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
North Dakota Fighting Hawks
P
Luke Silvernale
5 punts · 49.8 yd avg
#2 P
WR
Korey Tai
12 rec · 274 yds · 4 TD
#30 WR
DB
Jonnie Wiltshire
9 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
#89 DB
DL
Brody Thornton
8 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 4.0 TFL
#114 DL
Nebraska Cornhuskers
RB
Jamal Rule
210 rush yds · 3 TD · 2 rec
#13 RB
WR
Jacory Barney Jr.
13 rec · 175 yds · 2 TD
#35 WR
WR
Kwazi Gilmer
11 rec · 97 yds · 3 TD
#60 WR
RB
Mekhi Nelson
112 rush yds · 1 TD · 4 rec
#49 RB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
North Dakota offense vs Nebraska defense+5.3 pts
Nebraska offense vs North Dakota defense+12.3 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 490 mi
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.
Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest
were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them.
Adding them again would double-count.