← Matchups

Northwestern

B1G · 1-0 · power +17.0 · #48
Our numberIU -18.4 no book has priced this game

Indiana

B1G · 2-0 · power +33.9 · #3
Our side
MoneylineIU to win ours 85%
Projected score 16–34 NU – IU
2026-09-25 · 8:00 PM Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN) · Bloomington, IN B1G game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Northwestern lead 47–36–1 · 84 meetings since 1899
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Indiana Hoosiers 77 ranks
Northwestern Wildcats #79 rush offense Indiana Hoosiers #2 run defense
Pass game edge Indiana Hoosiers 104 ranks
Northwestern Wildcats #170 pass offense Indiana Hoosiers #66 pass defense
Run game edge Indiana Hoosiers 168 ranks
Indiana Hoosiers #45 rush offense Northwestern Wildcats #213 run defense
Pass game edge Indiana Hoosiers 100 ranks
Indiana Hoosiers #8 pass offense Northwestern Wildcats #108 pass defense
Northwestern Wildcats Balanced · 56% run Ball-control Indiana Hoosiers Run-heavy · 58% run Ball-control
David Braun · 19-19 Curt Cignetti · 46-6

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Northwestern Wildcats
DB Braden Turner 7 tkl · 3 PD #97 DB
DB Robert Fitzgerald 14 tkl · 1 PD #113 DB
DB Damon Walters 9 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT #114 DB
DL Brendan Flakes 4 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL #225 DL
Indiana Hoosiers
LB Rolijah Hardy 12 tkl · 1.0 TFL #15 LB
WR Charlie Becker 7 rec · 145 yds · 5 TD #21 WR
RB Turbo Richard 166 rush yds · 3 TD · 2 rec #34 RB
DL Tobi Osunsanmi 6 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 3.5 TFL #181 DL

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Northwestern WildcatsB1G +17.0 +3.6 +13.3 #48
Indiana HoosiersB1G +33.9 +18.5 +15.4 #3

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Northwestern offense vs Indiana defense-11.8 pts
Indiana offense vs Northwestern defense+5.2 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.