← Matchups

Notre Dame

IND · 2-0 · power +35.6 · #1
Our numberND -27.5 no book has priced this game

Purdue

B1G · 1-1 · power +9.7 · #87
Our side
MoneylineND to win ours 9%
Projected score 41–14 ND – PUR
2026-09-26 · kickoff TBD Ross-Ade Stadium · West Lafayette, IN Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Notre Dame lead 61–26–2 · 89 meetings since 1896
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Notre Dame Fighting Irish 231 ranks
Notre Dame Fighting Irish #1 rush offense Purdue Boilermakers #232 run defense
Pass game edge Notre Dame Fighting Irish 243 ranks
Notre Dame Fighting Irish #10 pass offense Purdue Boilermakers #253 pass defense
Run game edge Notre Dame Fighting Irish 58 ranks
Purdue Boilermakers #112 rush offense Notre Dame Fighting Irish #54 run defense
Pass game edge Notre Dame Fighting Irish 194 ranks
Purdue Boilermakers #200 pass offense Notre Dame Fighting Irish #6 pass defense
Notre Dame Fighting Irish Balanced · 58% run Ball-control Purdue Boilermakers Balanced · 49% run Ball-control
Marcus Freeman · 43-12 Barry Odom · 47-43 · offense-minded

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
QB CJ Carr 492 pass yds · 6 TD · 0 INT #6 QB
K Spencer Porath 3 FG · 12 XP · 21 pts #11 K
RB Nolan James Jr. 48 rush yds · 2 TD · 5 rec #47 RB
WR Jordan Faison 8 rec · 135 yds · 2 TD #79 WR
Purdue Boilermakers
RB Fame Ijeboi 201 rush yds · 4 TD · 8 rec #9 RB
DB Don Saunders 10 tkl · 1 INT #38 DB
K Jacobo Echeverria Lozano 6 FG · 8 XP · 26 pts #8 K
DL Jeremy Lewis 5 tkl · 1.5 sacks · 2.5 TFL #64 DL

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Notre Dame Fighting IrishIND +35.6 +22.4 +13.2 #1
Purdue BoilermakersB1G +9.7 +7.1 +2.6 #87

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Notre Dame offense vs Purdue defense+19.8 pts
Purdue offense vs Notre Dame defense-6.1 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.