Our side
MoneylineIOWA to win
ours 98%
Projected score
6–44
UNI – IOWA
2026-09-19 · 4:00 PM
Kinnick Stadium · Iowa City, IA
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Iowa lead
17–0
· 17 meetings since 1899
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Iowa Hawkeyes
148 ranks
Northern Iowa Panthers #223 rush offense
Iowa Hawkeyes #75 run defense
Pass game
edge Iowa Hawkeyes
152 ranks
Northern Iowa Panthers #174 pass offense
Iowa Hawkeyes #22 pass defense
Run game
edge Iowa Hawkeyes
150 ranks
Iowa Hawkeyes #49 rush offense
Northern Iowa Panthers #199 run defense
Pass game
edge Iowa Hawkeyes
70 ranks
Iowa Hawkeyes #131 pass offense
Northern Iowa Panthers #201 pass defense
Northern Iowa Panthers
Balanced · 57% run
Ball-control
Iowa Hawkeyes
Run-heavy · 68% run
Ball-control
Dual-threat QB · 41 rush ypg
Kirk Ferentz · 98-43 · defense-minded
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Northern Iowa Panthers
TE
Brady McCullough
7 rec · 98 yds · 3 TD
#11 TE
DB
Calvin Jaworski
7 tkl · 1 INT
#132 DB
LB
John Powers
20 tkl
#123 LB
LB
Kolben Miller
12 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL
#151 LB
Iowa Hawkeyes
RB
Kamari Moulton
240 rush yds · 2 TD · 6 rec
#19 RB
WR
Tony Diaz
15 rec · 179 yds · 1 TD
#39 WR
K
Caden Buhr
5 FG · 5 XP · 20 pts
#18 K
LB
Cam Buffington
21 tkl · 1.0 TFL
#113 LB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Northern Iowa offense vs Iowa defense-20.2 pts
Iowa offense vs Northern Iowa defense+8.5 pts
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.