Our side
MoneylineMSU to win
ours 47%
Projected score
23–24
MSU – WIS
2026-10-03 · kickoff TBD
Camp Randall Stadium · Madison, WI
B1G game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Michigan State lead
32–23
· 55 meetings since 1913
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Wisconsin Badgers
78 ranks
Michigan State Spartans #161 rush offense
Wisconsin Badgers #83 run defense
Pass game
even
28 ranks apart
Michigan State Spartans #136 pass offense
Wisconsin Badgers #164 pass defense
Run game
even
33 ranks apart
Wisconsin Badgers #207 rush offense
Michigan State Spartans #174 run defense
Pass game
edge Michigan State Spartans
84 ranks
Wisconsin Badgers #254 pass offense
Michigan State Spartans #170 pass defense
Michigan State Spartans
Balanced · 51% run
Avg pace
Wisconsin Badgers
Run-heavy · 59% run
Ball-control
Jonathan Smith · 43-50
Luke Fickell · 74-39 · defense-minded
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Michigan State Spartans
DL
Eli Coenen
7 tkl · 3.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL
#21 DL
RB
Cam Edwards
250 rush yds · 3 TD · 3 rec
#18 RB
DL
Kenny Soares Jr.
6 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.5 TFL
#69 DL
K
Liam Boyd
5 FG · 6 XP · 21 pts
#17 K
Wisconsin Badgers
LB
Cooper Catalano
22 tkl
#65 LB
DB
Matthew Jung
16 tkl · 1 PD
#120 DB
LB
Mason Posa
16 tkl
#201 LB
WR
Malachi Coleman
4 rec · 76 yds · 1 TD
#216 WR
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Michigan State offense vs Wisconsin defense-7.3 pts
Wisconsin offense vs Michigan State defense-10.6 pts
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.