← Matchups

Indiana

B1G · 2-0 · power +33.9 · #3
Our numberIU -9.5 no book has priced this game

Nebraska

B1G · 2-0 · power +19.7 · #40
Our side
MoneylineIU to win ours 23%
Projected score 32–22 IU – NEB
2026-10-10 · kickoff TBD Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE) · Lincoln, NE B1G game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Indiana lead 11–9–3 · 23 meetings since 1936
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Indiana Hoosiers 186 ranks
Indiana Hoosiers #45 rush offense Nebraska Cornhuskers #231 run defense
Pass game edge Indiana Hoosiers 78 ranks
Indiana Hoosiers #8 pass offense Nebraska Cornhuskers #86 pass defense
Run game edge Indiana Hoosiers 91 ranks
Nebraska Cornhuskers #93 rush offense Indiana Hoosiers #2 run defense
Pass game edge Indiana Hoosiers 80 ranks
Nebraska Cornhuskers #146 pass offense Indiana Hoosiers #66 pass defense
Indiana Hoosiers Run-heavy · 58% run Ball-control Nebraska Cornhuskers Balanced · 52% run Ball-control
Curt Cignetti · 46-6 Matt Rhule · 58-46

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Indiana Hoosiers
LB Rolijah Hardy 12 tkl · 1.0 TFL #15 LB
WR Charlie Becker 7 rec · 145 yds · 5 TD #21 WR
RB Turbo Richard 166 rush yds · 3 TD · 2 rec #34 RB
DL Tobi Osunsanmi 6 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 3.5 TFL #181 DL
Nebraska Cornhuskers
RB Jamal Rule 210 rush yds · 3 TD · 2 rec #13 RB
WR Jacory Barney Jr. 13 rec · 175 yds · 2 TD #35 WR
WR Kwazi Gilmer 11 rec · 97 yds · 3 TD #60 WR
RB Mekhi Nelson 112 rush yds · 1 TD · 4 rec #49 RB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Indiana HoosiersB1G +33.9 +18.5 +15.4 #3
Nebraska CornhuskersB1G +19.7 +14.2 +5.5 #40

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Indiana offense vs Nebraska defense+13.0 pts
Nebraska offense vs Indiana defense-1.2 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 550 mi

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.