Our side
MoneylinePUR to win
ours 62%
Projected score
23–27
MINN – PUR
2026-10-10 · kickoff TBD
Ross-Ade Stadium · West Lafayette, IN
B1G game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Minnesota lead
42–35–3
· 80 meetings since 1894
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
even
8 ranks apart
Minnesota Golden Gophers #224 rush offense
Purdue Boilermakers #232 run defense
Pass game
edge Minnesota Golden Gophers
124 ranks
Minnesota Golden Gophers #129 pass offense
Purdue Boilermakers #253 pass defense
Run game
even
5 ranks apart
Purdue Boilermakers #112 rush offense
Minnesota Golden Gophers #117 run defense
Pass game
edge Minnesota Golden Gophers
120 ranks
Purdue Boilermakers #200 pass offense
Minnesota Golden Gophers #80 pass defense
Minnesota Golden Gophers
Balanced · 44% run
Ball-control
Purdue Boilermakers
Balanced · 49% run
Ball-control
P.J. Fleck · 87-50
Barry Odom · 47-43 · offense-minded
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Minnesota Golden Gophers
DL
TJ Bush Jr.
11 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#92 DL
RB
Darius Taylor
71 rush yds · 3 TD · 4 rec
#139 RB
LB
Maverick Baranowski
15 tkl · 1.0 TFL
#208 LB
QB
Drake Lindsey
543 pass yds · 1 TD · 0 INT
#77 QB
Purdue Boilermakers
RB
Fame Ijeboi
201 rush yds · 4 TD · 8 rec
#9 RB
DB
Don Saunders
10 tkl · 1 INT
#38 DB
K
Jacobo Echeverria Lozano
6 FG · 8 XP · 26 pts
#8 K
DL
Jeremy Lewis
5 tkl · 1.5 sacks · 2.5 TFL
#64 DL
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Minnesota offense vs Purdue defense-1.4 pts
Purdue offense vs Minnesota defense+1.5 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 448 mi
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.
Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest
were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them.
Adding them again would double-count.