← Matchups

Rutgers

B1G · 0-2 · power +1.6 · #154
Our numberMD -15.0 no book has priced this game

Maryland

B1G · 2-0 · power +13.1 · #64
Our side
MoneylineMD to win ours 79%
Projected score 19–34 RUTG – MD
2026-10-17 · kickoff TBD SECU Stadium · College Park, MD B1G game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Maryland lead 12–9 · 21 meetings since 1920
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game even 21 ranks apart
Rutgers Scarlet Knights #141 rush offense Maryland Terrapins #120 run defense
Pass game even 23 ranks apart
Rutgers Scarlet Knights #80 pass offense Maryland Terrapins #57 pass defense
Run game even 15 ranks apart
Maryland Terrapins #242 rush offense Rutgers Scarlet Knights #257 run defense
Pass game edge Maryland Terrapins 119 ranks
Maryland Terrapins #117 pass offense Rutgers Scarlet Knights #236 pass defense
Rutgers Scarlet Knights Balanced · 50% run Avg pace Maryland Terrapins Pass-heavy · 38% run Ball-control
Greg Schiano · 31-41 · offense-minded Mike Locksley · 36-44 · defense-minded

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Rutgers Scarlet Knights
WR KJ Duff 17 rec · 333 yds · 5 TD #1 WR
LB Moses Walker 9 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL #129 LB
RB Antwan Raymond 176 rush yds · 4 rec #112 RB
DB Jesse Ofurie 11 tkl · 1 PD #538 DB
Maryland Terrapins
WR Na'eem Abdul-Rahim Gladding 14 rec · 187 yds · 2 TD #57 WR
DL Sidney Stewart 6 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.5 TFL #147 DL
WR Chris Durr Jr. 16 rec · 147 yds · 1 TD #93 WR
DL Derrick LeBlanc 4 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 2.5 TFL #202 DL

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Rutgers Scarlet KnightsB1G +1.6 +3.2 -1.6 #154
Maryland TerrapinsB1G +13.1 +6.7 +6.3 #64

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Rutgers offense vs Maryland defense-3.2 pts
Maryland offense vs Rutgers defense+8.3 pts
Rest · context onlyAway team on 7 more days rest

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.