← Matchups

Wisconsin

B1G · 1-1 · power +12.0 · #74
Our numberUCLA -13.9 no book has priced this game

UCLA

B1G · 2-0 · power +19.9 · #39
Our side
MoneylineUCLA to win ours 72%
Projected score 16–30 WIS – UCLA
2026-10-17 · kickoff TBD Rose Bowl · Pasadena, CA B1G game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series UCLA lead 7–4 · 11 meetings since 1938
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game even 44 ranks apart
Wisconsin Badgers #207 rush offense UCLA Bruins #251 run defense
Pass game even 30 ranks apart
Wisconsin Badgers #254 pass offense UCLA Bruins #224 pass defense
Run game even 12 ranks apart
UCLA Bruins #71 rush offense Wisconsin Badgers #83 run defense
Pass game edge Wisconsin Badgers 81 ranks
UCLA Bruins #245 pass offense Wisconsin Badgers #164 pass defense
Wisconsin Badgers Run-heavy · 59% run Ball-control UCLA Bruins Balanced · 50% run Ball-control Dual-threat QB · 46 rush ypg
Luke Fickell · 74-39 · defense-minded Tim Skipper · 9-13

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Wisconsin Badgers
LB Cooper Catalano 22 tkl #65 LB
DB Matthew Jung 16 tkl · 1 PD #120 DB
LB Mason Posa 16 tkl #201 LB
WR Malachi Coleman 4 rec · 76 yds · 1 TD #216 WR
UCLA Bruins
RB Wayne Knight 168 rush yds · 6 TD · 2 rec #7 RB
DB Ta'Shawn James 13 tkl · 1 PD · 2 INT #16 DB
LB Sammy Omosigho 19 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 4.0 TFL #26 LB
LB Jalen Woods 20 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.5 TFL #31 LB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Wisconsin BadgersB1G +12.0 -1.3 +13.3 #74
UCLA BruinsB1G +19.9 +9.4 +10.5 #39

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Wisconsin offense vs UCLA defense-11.8 pts
UCLA offense vs Wisconsin defense-3.9 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 1,660 mi
Rest · context onlyAway team on 7 more days rest

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.