Our side
MoneylineIOWA to win
ours 81%
Projected score
15–29
WIS – IOWA
2026-10-31 · kickoff TBD
Kinnick Stadium · Iowa City, IA
B1G game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Wisconsin lead
49–48–2
· 99 meetings since 1894
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Iowa Hawkeyes
132 ranks
Wisconsin Badgers #207 rush offense
Iowa Hawkeyes #75 run defense
Pass game
edge Iowa Hawkeyes
232 ranks
Wisconsin Badgers #254 pass offense
Iowa Hawkeyes #22 pass defense
Run game
even
34 ranks apart
Iowa Hawkeyes #49 rush offense
Wisconsin Badgers #83 run defense
Pass game
even
33 ranks apart
Iowa Hawkeyes #131 pass offense
Wisconsin Badgers #164 pass defense
Wisconsin Badgers
Run-heavy · 59% run
Ball-control
Iowa Hawkeyes
Run-heavy · 68% run
Ball-control
Dual-threat QB · 41 rush ypg
Luke Fickell · 74-39 · defense-minded
Kirk Ferentz · 98-43 · defense-minded
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Wisconsin Badgers
LB
Cooper Catalano
22 tkl
#65 LB
DB
Matthew Jung
16 tkl · 1 PD
#120 DB
LB
Mason Posa
16 tkl
#201 LB
WR
Malachi Coleman
4 rec · 76 yds · 1 TD
#216 WR
Iowa Hawkeyes
RB
Kamari Moulton
240 rush yds · 2 TD · 6 rec
#19 RB
WR
Tony Diaz
15 rec · 179 yds · 1 TD
#39 WR
K
Caden Buhr
5 FG · 5 XP · 20 pts
#18 K
LB
Cam Buffington
21 tkl · 1.0 TFL
#113 LB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Wisconsin offense vs Iowa defense-19.0 pts
Iowa offense vs Wisconsin defense-6.4 pts
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.