← Matchups

Northwestern

B1G · 1-0 · power +17.0 · #48
Our numberORE -12.9 no book has priced this game

Oregon

B1G · 1-1 · power +26.0 · #15
Our side
MoneylineORE to win ours 75%
Projected score 19–32 NU – ORE
2026-10-31 · kickoff TBD Autzen Stadium · Eugene, OR B1G game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Northwestern and Oregon split 2 (1–1) · 2 meetings since 1974
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game even 2 ranks apart
Northwestern Wildcats #79 rush offense Oregon Ducks #81 run defense
Pass game edge Oregon Ducks 121 ranks
Northwestern Wildcats #170 pass offense Oregon Ducks #49 pass defense
Run game edge Oregon Ducks 201 ranks
Oregon Ducks #12 rush offense Northwestern Wildcats #213 run defense
Pass game edge Oregon Ducks 78 ranks
Oregon Ducks #30 pass offense Northwestern Wildcats #108 pass defense
Northwestern Wildcats Balanced · 56% run Ball-control Oregon Ducks Balanced · 57% run Ball-control
David Braun · 19-19 Dan Lanning · 48-8

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Northwestern Wildcats
DB Braden Turner 7 tkl · 3 PD #97 DB
DB Robert Fitzgerald 14 tkl · 1 PD #113 DB
DB Damon Walters 9 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT #114 DB
DL Brendan Flakes 4 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL #225 DL
Oregon Ducks
LB Devon Jackson 12 tkl #38 LB
DL Bear Alexander 12 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL #79 DL
LB Teitum Tuioti 10 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL #62 LB
WR Dakorien Moore 9 rec · 138 yds · 2 TD #68 WR

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Northwestern WildcatsB1G +17.0 +3.6 +13.3 #48
Oregon DucksB1G +26.0 +17.2 +8.8 #15

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Northwestern offense vs Oregon defense-5.2 pts
Oregon offense vs Northwestern defense+3.9 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 1,777 mi

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.