← Matchups

Michigan

B1G · 2-0 · power +22.1 · #24
Our numberMICH -21.7 no book has priced this game

Rutgers

B1G · 0-2 · power +1.6 · #154
Our side
MoneylineMICH to win ours 13%
Projected score 35–13 MICH – RUTG
2026-10-31 · kickoff TBD SHI Stadium · Piscataway, NJ B1G game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Michigan lead 9–1 · 10 meetings since 2014
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Michigan Wolverines 224 ranks
Michigan Wolverines #33 rush offense Rutgers Scarlet Knights #257 run defense
Pass game edge Michigan Wolverines 55 ranks
Michigan Wolverines #181 pass offense Rutgers Scarlet Knights #236 pass defense
Run game edge Michigan Wolverines 51 ranks
Rutgers Scarlet Knights #141 rush offense Michigan Wolverines #90 run defense
Pass game even 17 ranks apart
Rutgers Scarlet Knights #80 pass offense Michigan Wolverines #97 pass defense
Michigan Wolverines Balanced · 58% run Ball-control Rutgers Scarlet Knights Balanced · 50% run Avg pace
Sherrone Moore · 17-8 Greg Schiano · 31-41 · offense-minded

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Michigan Wolverines
DL Dom Nichols 10 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL #17 DL
DL John Henry Daley 11 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL #45 DL
LB Troy Bowles 21 tkl · 2.0 TFL #74 LB
WR JJ Buchanan 8 rec · 174 yds · 1 TD #81 WR
Rutgers Scarlet Knights
WR KJ Duff 17 rec · 333 yds · 5 TD #1 WR
LB Moses Walker 9 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL #129 LB
RB Antwan Raymond 176 rush yds · 4 rec #112 RB
DB Jesse Ofurie 11 tkl · 1 PD #538 DB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Michigan WolverinesB1G +22.1 +5.7 +16.4 #24
Rutgers Scarlet KnightsB1G +1.6 +3.2 -1.6 #154

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Michigan offense vs Rutgers defense+7.3 pts
Rutgers offense vs Michigan defense-13.2 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 496 mi

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.