Our side
MoneylineMD to win
ours 46%
Projected score
28–26
MD – PUR
2026-11-07 · kickoff TBD
Ross-Ade Stadium · West Lafayette, IN
B1G game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Maryland and Purdue split 4 (2–2)
· 4 meetings since 2006
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
even
10 ranks apart
Maryland Terrapins #242 rush offense
Purdue Boilermakers #232 run defense
Pass game
edge Maryland Terrapins
136 ranks
Maryland Terrapins #117 pass offense
Purdue Boilermakers #253 pass defense
Run game
even
8 ranks apart
Purdue Boilermakers #112 rush offense
Maryland Terrapins #120 run defense
Pass game
edge Maryland Terrapins
143 ranks
Purdue Boilermakers #200 pass offense
Maryland Terrapins #57 pass defense
Maryland Terrapins
Pass-heavy · 38% run
Ball-control
Purdue Boilermakers
Balanced · 49% run
Ball-control
Mike Locksley · 36-44 · defense-minded
Barry Odom · 47-43 · offense-minded
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Maryland Terrapins
WR
Na'eem Abdul-Rahim Gladding
14 rec · 187 yds · 2 TD
#57 WR
DL
Sidney Stewart
6 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.5 TFL
#147 DL
WR
Chris Durr Jr.
16 rec · 147 yds · 1 TD
#93 WR
DL
Derrick LeBlanc
4 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 2.5 TFL
#202 DL
Purdue Boilermakers
RB
Fame Ijeboi
201 rush yds · 4 TD · 8 rec
#9 RB
DB
Don Saunders
10 tkl · 1 INT
#38 DB
K
Jacobo Echeverria Lozano
6 FG · 8 XP · 26 pts
#8 K
DL
Jeremy Lewis
5 tkl · 1.5 sacks · 2.5 TFL
#64 DL
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Maryland offense vs Purdue defense+4.2 pts
Purdue offense vs Maryland defense+0.8 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 539 mi
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.
Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest
were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them.
Adding them again would double-count.