← Matchups

Rutgers

B1G · 0-2 · power +1.6 · #154
Our numberWIS -11.5 no book has priced this game

Wisconsin

B1G · 1-1 · power +12.0 · #74
Our side
MoneylineWIS to win ours 77%
Projected score 19–30 RUTG – WIS
2026-11-07 · kickoff TBD Camp Randall Stadium · Madison, WI B1G game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Wisconsin lead 6–0 · 6 meetings since 2014
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Wisconsin Badgers 58 ranks
Rutgers Scarlet Knights #141 rush offense Wisconsin Badgers #83 run defense
Pass game edge Rutgers Scarlet Knights 84 ranks
Rutgers Scarlet Knights #80 pass offense Wisconsin Badgers #164 pass defense
Run game edge Wisconsin Badgers 50 ranks
Wisconsin Badgers #207 rush offense Rutgers Scarlet Knights #257 run defense
Pass game even 18 ranks apart
Wisconsin Badgers #254 pass offense Rutgers Scarlet Knights #236 pass defense
Rutgers Scarlet Knights Balanced · 50% run Avg pace Wisconsin Badgers Run-heavy · 59% run Ball-control
Greg Schiano · 31-41 · offense-minded Luke Fickell · 74-39 · defense-minded

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Rutgers Scarlet Knights
WR KJ Duff 17 rec · 333 yds · 5 TD #1 WR
LB Moses Walker 9 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL #129 LB
RB Antwan Raymond 176 rush yds · 4 rec #112 RB
DB Jesse Ofurie 11 tkl · 1 PD #538 DB
Wisconsin Badgers
LB Cooper Catalano 22 tkl #65 LB
DB Matthew Jung 16 tkl · 1 PD #120 DB
LB Mason Posa 16 tkl #201 LB
WR Malachi Coleman 4 rec · 76 yds · 1 TD #216 WR

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Rutgers Scarlet KnightsB1G +1.6 +3.2 -1.6 #154
Wisconsin BadgersB1G +12.0 -1.3 +13.3 #74

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Rutgers offense vs Wisconsin defense-10.1 pts
Wisconsin offense vs Rutgers defense+0.3 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 789 mi

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.