← Matchups

USC

B1G · 3-0 · power +26.1 · #14

Our numberIU -7.0 ~~no book has priced this game~~

Indiana

B1G · 2-0 · power +33.9 · #3

Our side

MoneylineIU to win ours 72%

Projected score 24–31 USC – IU

2026-11-14 · kickoff TBD Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN) · Bloomington, IN B1G game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series USC lead 4–0 · 4 meetings since 1953

2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played

Run game edge Indiana Hoosiers ~~48 ranks~~

USC Trojans #50 rush offense Indiana Hoosiers #2 run defense

Pass game edge USC Trojans ~~57 ranks~~

USC Trojans #9 pass offense Indiana Hoosiers #66 pass defense

Run game edge Indiana Hoosiers ~~112 ranks~~

Indiana Hoosiers #45 rush offense USC Trojans #157 run defense

Pass game edge Indiana Hoosiers ~~77 ranks~~

Indiana Hoosiers #8 pass offense USC Trojans #85 pass defense

USC Trojans Balanced · 52% run Ball-control Indiana Hoosiers Run-heavy · 58% run Ball-control

Lincoln Riley · 90-28 · offense-minded Curt Cignetti · 46-6

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025

USC Trojans

WR Trent Mosley 13 rec · 255 yds · 4 TD #13 WR

QB Jayden Maiava 896 pass yds · 10 TD · 1 INT #7 QB

TE Mark Bowman 12 rec · 128 yds · 2 TD #10 TE

P Lachlan Carrigan 3 punts · 46.7 yd avg #8 P

Indiana Hoosiers

LB Rolijah Hardy 12 tkl · 1.0 TFL #15 LB

WR Charlie Becker 7 rec · 145 yds · 5 TD #21 WR

RB Turbo Richard 166 rush yds · 3 TD · 2 rec #34 RB

DL Tobi Osunsanmi 6 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 3.5 TFL #181 DL

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown

Team	Power	Off	Def	Rank
USC Trojans~~B1G~~	+26.1	+16.9	+9.2	#14
Indiana Hoosiers~~B1G~~	+33.9	+18.5	+15.4	#3

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from

USC offense vs Indiana defense+1.5 pts

Indiana offense vs USC defense+9.3 pts

Travel · context onlyAway team travels 1,788 mi

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.