← Matchups

Wisconsin

B1G · 1-1 · power +12.0 · #74
Our numberMD -5.9 no book has priced this game

Maryland

B1G · 2-0 · power +13.1 · #64
Our side
MoneylineMD to win ours 57%
Projected score 21–27 WIS – MD
2026-11-14 · kickoff TBD SECU Stadium · College Park, MD B1G game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Wisconsin lead 4–1 · 5 meetings since 2014
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Maryland Terrapins 87 ranks
Wisconsin Badgers #207 rush offense Maryland Terrapins #120 run defense
Pass game edge Maryland Terrapins 197 ranks
Wisconsin Badgers #254 pass offense Maryland Terrapins #57 pass defense
Run game edge Wisconsin Badgers 159 ranks
Maryland Terrapins #242 rush offense Wisconsin Badgers #83 run defense
Pass game edge Maryland Terrapins 47 ranks
Maryland Terrapins #117 pass offense Wisconsin Badgers #164 pass defense
Wisconsin Badgers Run-heavy · 59% run Ball-control Maryland Terrapins Pass-heavy · 38% run Ball-control
Luke Fickell · 74-39 · defense-minded Mike Locksley · 36-44 · defense-minded

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Wisconsin Badgers
LB Cooper Catalano 22 tkl #65 LB
DB Matthew Jung 16 tkl · 1 PD #120 DB
LB Mason Posa 16 tkl #201 LB
WR Malachi Coleman 4 rec · 76 yds · 1 TD #216 WR
Maryland Terrapins
WR Na'eem Abdul-Rahim Gladding 14 rec · 187 yds · 2 TD #57 WR
DL Sidney Stewart 6 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.5 TFL #147 DL
WR Chris Durr Jr. 16 rec · 147 yds · 1 TD #93 WR
DL Derrick LeBlanc 4 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 2.5 TFL #202 DL

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Wisconsin BadgersB1G +12.0 -1.3 +13.3 #74
Maryland TerrapinsB1G +13.1 +6.7 +6.3 #64

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Wisconsin offense vs Maryland defense-7.6 pts
Maryland offense vs Wisconsin defense-6.6 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 707 mi

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.