← Matchups

Maryland

B1G · 2-0 · power +13.1 · #64
Our numberUSC -16.7 no book has priced this game

USC

B1G · 3-0 · power +26.1 · #14
Our side
MoneylineUSC to win ours 82%
Projected score 19–36 MD – USC
2026-11-21 · kickoff TBD Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum · Los Angeles, CA B1G game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Maryland lead 1–0 · 1 meeting since 2024
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge USC Trojans 85 ranks
Maryland Terrapins #242 rush offense USC Trojans #157 run defense
Pass game even 32 ranks apart
Maryland Terrapins #117 pass offense USC Trojans #85 pass defense
Run game edge USC Trojans 70 ranks
USC Trojans #50 rush offense Maryland Terrapins #120 run defense
Pass game edge USC Trojans 48 ranks
USC Trojans #9 pass offense Maryland Terrapins #57 pass defense
Maryland Terrapins Pass-heavy · 38% run Ball-control USC Trojans Balanced · 52% run Ball-control
Mike Locksley · 36-44 · defense-minded Lincoln Riley · 90-28 · offense-minded

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Maryland Terrapins
WR Na'eem Abdul-Rahim Gladding 14 rec · 187 yds · 2 TD #57 WR
DL Sidney Stewart 6 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.5 TFL #147 DL
WR Chris Durr Jr. 16 rec · 147 yds · 1 TD #93 WR
DL Derrick LeBlanc 4 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 2.5 TFL #202 DL
USC Trojans
WR Trent Mosley 13 rec · 255 yds · 4 TD #13 WR
QB Jayden Maiava 896 pass yds · 10 TD · 1 INT #7 QB
TE Mark Bowman 12 rec · 128 yds · 2 TD #10 TE
P Lachlan Carrigan 3 punts · 46.7 yd avg #8 P

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Maryland TerrapinsB1G +13.1 +6.7 +6.3 #64
USC TrojansB1G +26.1 +16.9 +9.2 #14

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Maryland offense vs USC defense-2.5 pts
USC offense vs Maryland defense+10.5 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 2,302 mi

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.