Our side
MoneylineMSU to win
ours 23%
Projected score
32–20
MSU – RUTG
2026-11-28 · kickoff TBD
SHI Stadium · Piscataway, NJ
B1G game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Michigan State lead
10–6
· 16 meetings since 1988
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Michigan State Spartans
96 ranks
Michigan State Spartans #161 rush offense
Rutgers Scarlet Knights #257 run defense
Pass game
edge Michigan State Spartans
100 ranks
Michigan State Spartans #136 pass offense
Rutgers Scarlet Knights #236 pass defense
Run game
even
33 ranks apart
Rutgers Scarlet Knights #141 rush offense
Michigan State Spartans #174 run defense
Pass game
edge Rutgers Scarlet Knights
90 ranks
Rutgers Scarlet Knights #80 pass offense
Michigan State Spartans #170 pass defense
Michigan State Spartans
Balanced · 51% run
Avg pace
Rutgers Scarlet Knights
Balanced · 50% run
Avg pace
Jonathan Smith · 43-50
Greg Schiano · 31-41 · offense-minded
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Michigan State Spartans
DL
Eli Coenen
7 tkl · 3.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL
#21 DL
RB
Cam Edwards
250 rush yds · 3 TD · 3 rec
#18 RB
DL
Kenny Soares Jr.
6 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.5 TFL
#69 DL
K
Liam Boyd
5 FG · 6 XP · 21 pts
#17 K
Rutgers Scarlet Knights
WR
KJ Duff
17 rec · 333 yds · 5 TD
#1 WR
LB
Moses Walker
9 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL
#129 LB
RB
Antwan Raymond
176 rush yds · 4 rec
#112 RB
DB
Jesse Ofurie
11 tkl · 1 PD
#538 DB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Michigan State offense vs Rutgers defense+7.6 pts
Rutgers offense vs Michigan State defense-6.1 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 539 mi
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.
Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest
were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them.
Adding them again would double-count.