Our side
MoneylineORST to win
ours 73%
Projected score
22–33
MONT – ORST
2026-09-19 · 11:00 PM
Reser Stadium · Corvallis, OR
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Oregon State lead
12–2–2
· 16 meetings since 1925
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
even
2 ranks apart
Montana Grizzlies #91 rush offense
Oregon State Beavers #89 run defense
Pass game
edge Montana Grizzlies
157 ranks
Montana Grizzlies #20 pass offense
Oregon State Beavers #177 pass defense
Run game
edge Montana Grizzlies
99 ranks
Oregon State Beavers #240 rush offense
Montana Grizzlies #141 run defense
Pass game
edge Montana Grizzlies
63 ranks
Oregon State Beavers #239 pass offense
Montana Grizzlies #176 pass defense
Montana Grizzlies
Balanced · 54% run
Avg pace
Oregon State Beavers
Balanced · 54% run
Avg pace
Trent Bray · 5-14 · defense-minded
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Montana Grizzlies
RB
Eli Gillman
328 rush yds · 7 TD · 5 rec
#4 RB
WR
Brooks Davis
24 rec · 305 yds · 1 TD
#36 WR
DB
Brock Beaner
17 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
#99 DB
LB
Peyton Wing
13 tkl · 2.5 TFL
#94 LB
Oregon State Beavers
WR
Jesse Legree
13 rec · 376 yds · 3 TD
#3 WR
LB
Aiden Sullivan
19 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#8 LB
DB
Sailasa Vadrawale III
9 tkl · 3 PD · 1 INT
#55 DB
LB
Takari Hickle
12 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.5 TFL
#95 LB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Montana offense vs Oregon State defense-0.0 pts
Oregon State offense vs Montana defense-3.1 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 476 mi
Altitude · context only913 m lower than the visitor's home elevation
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.
Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest
were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them.
Adding them again would double-count.