← Matchups

Duquesne

· 0-2 · power -13.0 · #329
Our numberWSU -35.2 no book has priced this game

Washington State

PAC · 0-2 · power +12.9 · #68
Our side
MoneylineWSU to win ours 97%
Projected score 7–42 DUQ – WSU
2026-09-19 · 3:30 PM Martin Stadium · Pullman, WA Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

First recorded meeting between these programs
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game even 43 ranks apart
Duquesne Dukes #90 rush offense Washington State Cougars #133 run defense
Pass game edge Washington State Cougars 83 ranks
Duquesne Dukes #121 pass offense Washington State Cougars #38 pass defense
Run game even 3 ranks apart
Washington State Cougars #155 rush offense Duquesne Dukes #158 run defense
Pass game edge Duquesne Dukes 97 ranks
Washington State Cougars #186 pass offense Duquesne Dukes #89 pass defense
Duquesne Dukes Run-heavy · 60% run Ball-control Washington State Cougars Balanced · 53% run Avg pace Dual-threat QB · 34 rush ypg
Jimmy Rogers · 6-6 · defense-minded

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Duquesne Dukes
DL Nico Pate 10 tkl #337 DL
DB Caleb Jones 12 tkl · 1 PD #379 DB
LB Luke Miller 15 tkl #349 LB
LB Zach Chambers 14 tkl #405 LB
Washington State Cougars
DB Jaylen Thomas 7 tkl · 2 INT #8 DB
DB Jamarey Smith 8 tkl · 1 PD #609 DB
DL Malachi Wrice 4 tkl · 2.0 TFL #704 DL
QB Caden Pinnick 207 pass yds · 2 INT · 90 rush yds #148 QB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Duquesne Dukes -13.0 -6.2 -6.8 #329
Washington State CougarsPAC +12.9 -0.0 +13.0 #68

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Duquesne offense vs Washington State defense-19.2 pts
Washington State offense vs Duquesne defense+6.8 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 1,892 mi
Altitude · context only501 m higher than the visitor's home elevation

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.