Our side
MoneylineORST to win
ours 40%
Projected score
28–25
ORST – UTEP
2026-09-26 · 9:00 PM
Sun Bowl · El Paso, TX
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
First recorded meeting between these programs
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge UTEP Miners
181 ranks
Oregon State Beavers #240 rush offense
UTEP Miners #59 run defense
Pass game
edge UTEP Miners
125 ranks
Oregon State Beavers #239 pass offense
UTEP Miners #114 pass defense
Run game
edge Oregon State Beavers
88 ranks
UTEP Miners #177 rush offense
Oregon State Beavers #89 run defense
Pass game
edge Oregon State Beavers
73 ranks
UTEP Miners #250 pass offense
Oregon State Beavers #177 pass defense
Oregon State Beavers
Balanced · 54% run
Avg pace
UTEP Miners
Balanced · 50% run
Avg pace
Dual-threat QB · 44 rush ypg
Trent Bray · 5-14 · defense-minded
Scotty Walden · 6-22 · defense-minded
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Oregon State Beavers
WR
Jesse Legree
13 rec · 376 yds · 3 TD
#3 WR
LB
Aiden Sullivan
19 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#8 LB
DB
Sailasa Vadrawale III
9 tkl · 3 PD · 1 INT
#55 DB
LB
Takari Hickle
12 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.5 TFL
#95 LB
UTEP Miners
TE
Cash Cheeks
3 rec · 51 yds · 2 TD
#55 TE
QB
EJ Colson Jr.
291 pass yds · 4 TD · 0 INT
#73 QB
RB
Tavorus Jones
128 rush yds · 1 TD · 4 rec
#205 RB
DL
Derek Burns
4 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#516 DL
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Oregon State offense vs UTEP defense+2.9 pts
UTEP offense vs Oregon State defense-3.5 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 1,264 mi
Altitude · context only1,116 m higher than the visitor's home elevation
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.
Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest
were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them.
Adding them again would double-count.