Our side
MoneylineWSU to win
ours 34%
Projected score
28–20
WSU – ORST
2026-10-17 · 6:00 PM
Reser Stadium · Corvallis, OR
PAC game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Washington State lead
56–44–3
· 103 meetings since 1916
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Oregon State Beavers
66 ranks
Washington State Cougars #155 rush offense
Oregon State Beavers #89 run defense
Pass game
even
9 ranks apart
Washington State Cougars #186 pass offense
Oregon State Beavers #177 pass defense
Run game
edge Washington State Cougars
107 ranks
Oregon State Beavers #240 rush offense
Washington State Cougars #133 run defense
Pass game
edge Washington State Cougars
201 ranks
Oregon State Beavers #239 pass offense
Washington State Cougars #38 pass defense
Washington State Cougars
Balanced · 53% run
Avg pace
Dual-threat QB · 34 rush ypg
Oregon State Beavers
Balanced · 54% run
Avg pace
Jimmy Rogers · 6-6 · defense-minded
Trent Bray · 5-14 · defense-minded
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Washington State Cougars
DB
Jaylen Thomas
7 tkl · 2 INT
#8 DB
DB
Jamarey Smith
8 tkl · 1 PD
#609 DB
DL
Malachi Wrice
4 tkl · 2.0 TFL
#704 DL
QB
Caden Pinnick
207 pass yds · 2 INT · 90 rush yds
#148 QB
Oregon State Beavers
WR
Jesse Legree
13 rec · 376 yds · 3 TD
#3 WR
LB
Aiden Sullivan
19 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#8 LB
DB
Sailasa Vadrawale III
9 tkl · 3 PD · 1 INT
#55 DB
LB
Takari Hickle
12 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.5 TFL
#95 LB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Washington State offense vs Oregon State defense-4.0 pts
Oregon State offense vs Washington State defense-12.6 pts
Altitude · context only703 m lower than the visitor's home elevation
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.
Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest
were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them.
Adding them again would double-count.