Our side
MoneylineSDSU to win
ours 52%
Projected score
23–22
WSU – SDSU
2026-10-31 · 7:00 PM
Snapdragon Stadium · San Diego, CA
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Washington State lead
3–1
· 4 meetings since 2007
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge San Diego State Aztecs
102 ranks
Washington State Cougars #155 rush offense
San Diego State Aztecs #53 run defense
Pass game
edge San Diego State Aztecs
183 ranks
Washington State Cougars #186 pass offense
San Diego State Aztecs #3 pass defense
Run game
edge San Diego State Aztecs
59 ranks
San Diego State Aztecs #74 rush offense
Washington State Cougars #133 run defense
Pass game
edge Washington State Cougars
173 ranks
San Diego State Aztecs #211 pass offense
Washington State Cougars #38 pass defense
Washington State Cougars
Balanced · 53% run
Avg pace
Dual-threat QB · 34 rush ypg
San Diego State Aztecs
Run-heavy · 66% run
Ball-control
Jimmy Rogers · 6-6 · defense-minded
Sean Lewis · 36-44 · defense-minded
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Washington State Cougars
DB
Jaylen Thomas
7 tkl · 2 INT
#8 DB
DB
Jamarey Smith
8 tkl · 1 PD
#609 DB
DL
Malachi Wrice
4 tkl · 2.0 TFL
#704 DL
QB
Caden Pinnick
207 pass yds · 2 INT · 90 rush yds
#148 QB
San Diego State Aztecs
DB
Mike Lindsay
5 tkl · 1 PD · 2 INT
#155 DB
RB
Lucky Sutton
139 rush yds · 3 TD
#105 RB
DL
Gavriel Lightfoot
8 tkl · 1.0 TFL
#306 DL
DB
Jelani McLaughlin
13 tkl · 1 PD
#346 DB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Washington State offense vs San Diego State defense-9.1 pts
San Diego State offense vs Washington State defense-10.3 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 964 mi
Altitude · context only751 m lower than the visitor's home elevation
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.
Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest
were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them.
Adding them again would double-count.