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TBD

· power +0.0 · #175
Our numberUSU -20.2 no book has priced this game

Utah State

MWC · 0-2 · power +8.0 · #93
Our side
MoneylineUSU to win ours 89%
Projected score 17–37 TBD – USU
2026-11-28 · kickoff TBD Maverik Stadium · Logan, UT Preseason estimate

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

First recorded meeting between these programs
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Utah State Aggies Balanced · 51% run Ball-control Dual-threat QB · 61 rush ypg
Bronco Mendenhall · 56-56 · offense-minded

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all D1 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
TBD
No graded players for this team in 2025.
Utah State Aggies
DL Carson Tujague 9 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL #62 DL
WR Eli Wood 12 rec · 143 yds · 2 TD #55 WR
WR Javon Robinson 6 rec · 131 yds · 1 TD #163 WR
DB Brevin Hamblin 10 tkl · 1 PD #366 DB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
TBD +0.0 +0.0 +0.0 #175
Utah State AggiesMWC +8.0 +2.3 +5.7 #93

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
TBD offense vs Utah State defense-5.7 pts
Utah State offense vs TBD defense+2.3 pts
Rest · context onlyHome team on 7 more days rest

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.