← Matchups

James Madison

SBC · 2-0 · power +14.1 · #59
Our numberJMU -11.1 no book has priced this game

UConn

IND · 1-1 · power +2.4 · #147
Our side
MoneylineJMU to win ours 27%
Projected score 32–21 JMU – CONN
2026-11-14 · 12:00 PM Pratt & Whitney Stadium · East Hartford, CT Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series James Madison lead 1–0 · 1 meeting since 2023
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge James Madison Dukes 188 ranks
James Madison Dukes #36 rush offense UConn Huskies #224 run defense
Pass game even 39 ranks apart
James Madison Dukes #85 pass offense UConn Huskies #124 pass defense
Run game even 19 ranks apart
UConn Huskies #40 rush offense James Madison Dukes #21 run defense
Pass game even 17 ranks apart
UConn Huskies #42 pass offense James Madison Dukes #25 pass defense
James Madison Dukes Run-heavy · 62% run Ball-control Dual-threat QB · 42 rush ypg UConn Huskies Balanced · 49% run Ball-control
Bob Chesney · 21-6 Jim Mora · 44-42 · offense-minded

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
James Madison Dukes
K Morgan Suarez 3 FG · 14 XP · 23 pts #20 K
RB George Pettaway 99 rush yds · 4 TD #76 RB
DB Ken Willis 14 tkl #273 DB
RB Nick Herman 135 rush yds · 2 TD · 2 rec #160 RB
UConn Huskies
DL Anas Luqman 5 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL #179 DL
DB Zion Paret 15 tkl · 1 PD #209 DB
LB K'Von Sherman 14 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL #153 LB
DB Saxton Suchanic 4 tkl · 3 PD #287 DB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
James Madison DukesSBC +14.1 +10.4 +3.8 #59
UConn HuskiesIND +2.4 +3.2 -0.8 #147

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
James Madison offense vs UConn defense+11.2 pts
UConn offense vs James Madison defense-0.6 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 402 mi
Altitude · context only389 m lower than the visitor's home elevation

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.