BallKnowMe college football, by the numbers

← Matchups

Houston Christian

· 2-1 (1-0) · power -16.2 · #356
Our numberRICE -29.6 no book has priced this game

Rice

AAC · 1-1 · power +3.0 · #139
Final HCU 3 · RICE 31 ML W Spread W Total W our logged sides, graded on the record
Our side
MoneylineRICE to win logged ours 95%

Our number: RICE by 19.3 — RICE to win.

Projected score 10–40 HCU – RICE
2026-09-05 · 7:00 PM Rice Stadium · Houston, TX Early season

The books 5 account books · tap any price — the ticket builds at that book

Book HCU spreadRICE spread OverUnder HCU winRICE win HCU TT overHCU TT under RICE TT overRICE TT under
DraftKings — — — —
FanDuel — — — —
BetMGM — — — —
ESPN Bet — — — —
Caesars — — — —

The gold price is the best available on that side; a gold ★ marks the side our number implies — a read, not a pick. TT is a team total — that team’s own points, not the game’s; columns are empty where no book hangs one. Send to book opens whichever book you tapped, not the one we would have picked. Prices are the books’ own.

Public vs booksbets vs money · Action Network captured 8 days ago spread HCU 54% bets · 39% money · money RICE total Over 78% bets · 71% money ML RICE 99% bets · 99% money
First recorded meeting between these programs
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game even 15 ranks apart
Houston Christian Huskies #202 rush offense Rice Owls #217 run defense
Pass game even 18 ranks apart
Houston Christian Huskies #261 pass offense Rice Owls #243 pass defense
Run game even 1 ranks apart
Rice Owls #171 rush offense Houston Christian Huskies #172 run defense
Pass game edge Houston Christian Huskies 130 ranks
Rice Owls #218 pass offense Houston Christian Huskies #88 pass defense
Houston Christian Huskies Balanced · 55% run Ball-control Rice Owls Run-heavy · 78% run Ball-control Dual-threat QB · 44 rush ypg
Scott Abell · 5-8

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Houston Christian Huskies
LB Jayven Anderson 21 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 7.0 TFL #25 LB
P Julian Maceri 5 punts · 45.2 yd avg #9 P
DL Calvin Kalu-Alexander 6 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 2.5 TFL #351 DL
DB Darius Bean 17 tkl · 1 PD #341 DB
Rice Owls
DL Chibby Nwajuaku 9 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL #148 DL
DL AJ Brown 10 tkl · 0.5 TFL #157 DL
DL Braden Bays 7 tkl · 2.0 TFL #345 DL
RB Quinton Jackson 61 rush yds · 2 TD · 1 rec #224 RB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Houston Christian Huskies -16.2 -7.9 -8.3 #356
Rice OwlsAAC +3.0 -4.4 +7.4 #139

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Houston Christian offense vs Rice defense-15.3 pts
Rice offense vs Houston Christian defense+3.9 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.