FinalUT R 16 · UTSA 45ML WSpread LTotal Wour logged sides, graded on the record
Our side
MoneylineUTSA to winloggedours 93%
Our number: UTSA by 16.8 — UTSA to win.
Projected score16–43UT R – UTSA
2026-09-05 · 3:30 PMAlamodome · San Antonio, TXEarly season
The books 5 account books · tap any price — the ticket builds at that book
Book
UT R spread
UTSA spread
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Under
UT R win
UTSA win
UT R TT over
UT R TT under
UTSA TT over
UTSA TT under
DraftKings
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FanDuel
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BetMGM
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ESPN Bet
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Caesars
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The gold price is the best available on that side;
a gold ★ marks the side our number implies — a read, not a pick.
TT is a team total — that team’s own points, not the game’s;
columns are empty where no book hangs one.
Send to book opens whichever book you tapped, not the one we would have picked.
Prices are the books’ own.
Public vs booksbets vs money · Action Networkcaptured 8 days agospreadUT R 96% bets · 82% moneytotalUnder 90% bets · 71% moneyMLUTSA 97% bets · 19% money · money UT R
First recorded meeting between these programs
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run gameedge UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros145 ranks
UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros #28 rush offenseUTSA Roadrunners #173 run defense
Pass gameedge UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros187 ranks
UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros #22 pass offenseUTSA Roadrunners #209 pass defense
Run gameeven5 ranks apart
UTSA Roadrunners #51 rush offenseUT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros #56 run defense
Pass gameedge UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros71 ranks
UTSA Roadrunners #83 pass offenseUT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros #12 pass defense
UT Rio Grande Valley VaquerosBalanced · 52% runBall-controlUTSA RoadrunnersBalanced · 46% runBall-control
Jeff Traylor · 53-26 · offense-minded
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros
WRKyran Lee
18 rec · 301 yds · 2 TD#27 WR
DBAlijah Prosser
14 tkl · 5 PD#68 DB
LBSpencer Rich
27 tkl · 1.0 TFL#72 LB
KBrysen Gardner
6 FG · 9 XP · 27 pts#16 K
UTSA Roadrunners
LBBrandon Tucker
18 tkl · 0.5 TFL#78 LB
DBAhamad Chapman
3 tkl · 1 INT#177 DB
WRMekhi Anderson
12 rec · 125 yds · 1 TD#144 WR
WRAJ Wilson
11 rec · 125 yds · 1 TD#155 WR
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
UT Rio Grande Valley offense vs UTSA defense-4.8 pts
UTSA offense vs UT Rio Grande Valley defense+11.1 pts
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.