Our side
MoneylineTLSA to win
ours 92%
Projected score
13–39
ETAM – TLSA
2026-09-19 · 8:00 PM
H. A. Chapman Stadium · Tulsa, OK
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
First recorded meeting between these programs
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Tulsa Golden Hurricane
118 ranks
East Texas A&M Lions #166 rush offense
Tulsa Golden Hurricane #48 run defense
Pass game
edge Tulsa Golden Hurricane
106 ranks
East Texas A&M Lions #237 pass offense
Tulsa Golden Hurricane #131 pass defense
Run game
even
39 ranks apart
Tulsa Golden Hurricane #157 rush offense
East Texas A&M Lions #196 run defense
Pass game
even
36 ranks apart
Tulsa Golden Hurricane #192 pass offense
East Texas A&M Lions #228 pass defense
East Texas A&M Lions
Balanced · 50% run
Ball-control
Tulsa Golden Hurricane
Balanced · 55% run
Up-tempo
Tre Lamb · 4-8
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
East Texas A&M Lions
DB
Tramar Gilbert
23 tkl · 1 PD
#39 DB
WR
Micah Simpson
17 rec · 311 yds · 2 TD
#29 WR
DL
Duncan Parham
12 tkl · 1.5 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#86 DL
DB
Jamari Mosley
11 tkl · 2 PD
#220 DB
Tulsa Golden Hurricane
DL
Thomas Davis
7 tkl · 3.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL
#9 DL
DL
Kyran Duhon
9 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#95 DL
LB
Dax Collins
19 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL
#63 LB
LB
Chris Thompson Jr.
18 tkl
#106 LB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
East Texas A&M offense vs Tulsa defense-11.3 pts
Tulsa offense vs East Texas A&M defense+3.5 pts
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.