Our side
MoneylineNAVY to win
ours 33%
Projected score
32–22
NAVY – UAB
2026-09-25 · 7:00 PM
Protective Stadium · Birmingham, AL
AAC game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Navy lead
3–0
· 3 meetings since 2023
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Navy Midshipmen
230 ranks
Navy Midshipmen #14 rush offense
UAB Blazers #244 run defense
Pass game
edge Navy Midshipmen
223 ranks
Navy Midshipmen #35 pass offense
UAB Blazers #258 pass defense
Run game
edge UAB Blazers
63 ranks
UAB Blazers #77 rush offense
Navy Midshipmen #140 run defense
Pass game
edge UAB Blazers
124 ranks
UAB Blazers #103 pass offense
Navy Midshipmen #227 pass defense
Navy Midshipmen
Run-heavy · 80% run
Ball-control
Dual-threat QB · 104 rush ypg
UAB Blazers
Balanced · 52% run
Ball-control
Brian Newberry · 26-12 · offense-minded
Trent Dilfer · 9-21 · offense-minded
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Navy Midshipmen
DL
Aiden Lyczek
8 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL
#97 DL
LB
MarcAnthony Parker
18 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#61 LB
DL
Griffen Willis
6 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.5 TFL
#203 DL
TE
Jordan Collins
2 rec · 68 yds · 1 TD
#64 TE
UAB Blazers
K
Jonah Delange
7 FG · 4 XP · 25 pts
#6 K
LB
Ike Esonwune
15 tkl
#67 LB
LB
Muaaz Byard
20 tkl · 1.5 TFL
#126 LB
DB
Jo'Tavion Pierce
11 tkl · 1 PD
#244 DB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Navy offense vs UAB defense+7.6 pts
UAB offense vs Navy defense-2.5 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 686 mi
Rest · context onlyAway team on 7 more days rest
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.
Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest
were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them.
Adding them again would double-count.