← Matchups

Louisiana

SBC · 1-1 · power +10.2 · #81
Our numberUL -20.5 no book has priced this game

Charlotte

AAC · 0-2 · power -10.3 · #299
Our side
MoneylineUL to win ours 15%
Projected score 37–16 UL – CLT
2026-09-26 · kickoff TBD Jerry Richardson Stadium · Charlotte, NC Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

First recorded meeting between these programs
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns 167 ranks
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns #81 rush offense Charlotte 49ers #248 run defense
Pass game even 7 ranks apart
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns #213 pass offense Charlotte 49ers #220 pass defense
Run game even 34 ranks apart
Charlotte 49ers #264 rush offense Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns #230 run defense
Pass game edge Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns 83 ranks
Charlotte 49ers #234 pass offense Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns #151 pass defense
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns Run-heavy · 62% run Avg pace Dual-threat QB · 57 rush ypg Charlotte 49ers Balanced · 50% run Ball-control
Michael Desormeaux · 29-25 Tim Albin · 35-30

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns
DB Brent Gordon Jr. 11 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT #72 DB
DB Avery Demery 8 tkl · 1 INT #188 DB
DB Collin Jacob 17 tkl #211 DB
TE Caden Jensen 5 rec · 77 yds #59 TE
Charlotte 49ers
DB Collin Gill 16 tkl #49 DB
WR Jaylen Hampton 11 rec · 142 yds · 2 TD #124 WR
LB Gavin Willis 14 tkl · 2.5 TFL #184 LB
DL Curtis Simpson 9 tkl · 1.0 TFL #417 DL

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Louisiana Ragin' CajunsSBC +10.2 +8.1 +2.1 #81
Charlotte 49ersAAC -10.3 -4.9 -5.4 #299

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Louisiana offense vs Charlotte defense+13.4 pts
Charlotte offense vs Louisiana defense-7.0 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 744 mi

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.