Our side
MoneylineECU to win
ours 96%
Projected score
12–44
NCCU – ECU
2026-09-26 · 4:00 PM
Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium · Greenville, NC
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
East Carolina lead
1–0
· 1 meeting since 2014
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge East Carolina Pirates
144 ranks
North Carolina Central Eagles #189 rush offense
East Carolina Pirates #45 run defense
Pass game
even
11 ranks apart
North Carolina Central Eagles #43 pass offense
East Carolina Pirates #32 pass defense
Run game
even
24 ranks apart
East Carolina Pirates #121 rush offense
North Carolina Central Eagles #145 run defense
Pass game
edge East Carolina Pirates
51 ranks
East Carolina Pirates #52 pass offense
North Carolina Central Eagles #103 pass defense
North Carolina Central Eagles
Balanced · 53% run
Ball-control
East Carolina Pirates
Balanced · 53% run
Avg pace
Blake Harrell · 14-5
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
North Carolina Central Eagles
DL
Zarion Walters
17 tkl · 3.0 sacks · 6.0 TFL
#12 DL
DB
Joshua Truesdale
19 tkl · 2 PD · 2 INT
#88 DB
RB
Plez Lawrence
264 rush yds · 3 TD · 1 rec
#92 RB
DB
Jakarri Martin II
9 tkl · 3 PD · 1 INT
#231 DB
East Carolina Pirates
WR
Jeremiah Melvin
11 rec · 154 yds · 1 TD
#89 WR
DL
Kendrick DuJour
6 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.5 TFL
#255 DL
DL
Torin Brazell
5 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL
#307 DL
LB
Crews Law
12 tkl · 1.5 TFL
#220 LB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
North Carolina Central offense vs East Carolina defense-11.5 pts
East Carolina offense vs North Carolina Central defense+10.8 pts
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.